A combined analysis of multiple neutrino experiments strongly favors a normal rather than inverted ordering of the neutrino masses at the 3.3 sigma level, echoing the preference from almost all previous observational indications.
We present a combined analysis of the latest publicly available atmospheric neutrino data from Super-Kamiokande including all data-taking stages previous to the gadolinium phase, IceCube-DeepCore, and the six-detection-unit configuration of KM3NeT/ORCA. Our fit uses all event samples simultaneously and treats the systematic uncertainties shared among experiments as fully correlated, while detector-response uncertainties are modeled independently for each experiment.
The combined data constrain the atmospheric oscillation parameters to Δm(31)^2 = 2.44 +0.06 −0.04 × 10^−3 eV^2 and sin^2(θ23) = 0.52 +0.03 −0.04, with a precision of 2.2% and 6.1%, respectively, which is competitive with current accelerator-based measurements, and independently constrain the CP-violating phase to δCP = 1.30 +0.24 −0.28 π.
Finally, comparing the orderings of the neutrino mass spectrum, we find a preference for the normal ordering with Δχ2 = 11.0; further calibrated with pseudoexperiments, we exclude the inverted ordering at 99.95% confidence level (3.3σ).
Miaochen Jin, et al., "Evidence for Normal Neutrino Ordering with Combined Atmospheric Neutrino Experiments" arXiv:2610.12208 (October 8, 2026).
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