Thursday, April 30, 2026

The Standard Model Still Works (Again)

The LHCb experiment at the Large Hadron Collider (LHC) has made a statistically significant observation (although not an absolutely certain discovery) a rare decay of a particular kind of positively charged bottom quark meson (to a positively charged pion and an electron-positron pair, which is an example of what is called a semi-leptonic decay because it is a mix of a hadron, the pion, and leptons like electrons and positrons) with a frequency of one decay per 40 million decays of this kind of meson (a kind of meson which, itself, doesn't make up a large share of mesons produced at LHCb). 

This just happens to be statistically consistent on with the frequency of this kind of decay of this kind of meson the Standard Model predicts which is the SM prediction of B(B+→ π+ℓ+ℓ−) = (2.04 ± 0.21) × 10^−8, which is about one per 50 million decays. The same decay, but with muons, was first seen in 2012 at a branching fraction of one per 55 million decays that was also statistically consistent with the Standard Model expectation (which is the same for electrons and for muons due to lepton universality).

The first evidence for the decay B+→π+e+e− is reported using proton-proton collision data recorded by the LHCb experiment at centre-of-mass energies of 7, 8 and 13 TeV, corresponding to an integrated luminosity of 9 fb^−1. 
A signal excess with a significance of 3.2σ is observed and the branching fraction is measured to be B(B+→ π+e+e−) (2.4+0.9−0.8+0.4−0.2) × 10^−8, where the first set of uncertainties is statistical and the second is systematic. The result is consistent with the Standard Model expectation.
LHCb collaboration, "First evidence of the decay B+→π+e+e−" arXiv:2604.26784 (April 29, 2026).

Combining the statistical and systemic uncertainties, the total uncertainty is about 2.4 ± 0.9 x 10^-8, which a larger branching fraction (i.e. more events) actually slightly favored over a smaller one (i.e. fewer events), relative to the best fit value.

The deviation from the Standard Model expectation in the muon measurement was about 0.7 sigma (in the opposite direction of the deviation in the electron experiment, from the best fit value), while the deviation from the Standard Model expectation in the electron measurement was about 0.4 sigma. This suggests that the systemic uncertainty estimate in the Standard Model prediction and in the experiments was probably conservatively somewhat high.

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