Your priors on the likelihood an uncertain event depend upon where you are coming from.
Premed: "Does this count for a physics credit? Can we shorten the string so I can get it done faster? And can we do one where it hits me in the face? I gotta do a thing for first aid training right after?"
Which segues right into this:
(Might millet farming have led to brewing?)
Interesting. It is a discussion of the linguistic and genetic evidence for the Altaic hypothesis with a farming mechanism.
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