Tuesday, July 15, 2025

Unsolved Physics Problems

 

I would add at least a couple more. 

There are false problems that ask "why doesn't the universe act like I think (for no good reason) that it should?" This includes the hierarchy problem, the strong CP problem, the baryon asymmetry of the universe, and all research invoking the concept of "naturalness."

And, there are contradictory data problems, where one asks why multiple measurements of the same thing (in your current theory) are producing irreconcilable results. These have included the proton radius puzzle, the data based calculation of muon g-2, the measurement of the mean lifetime of unbound neutrons, the reanalysis of CDF data to determine the W boson mass that produced an anomalous result, and the Hubble tension. Usually, in these cases, the answer is that somebody screwed up in one or both of the experiments (at a minimum by overstating the uncertainty in the result), or the theoretical analysis involved, but sometimes, the theory that said the measurements should be the same was wrong.

BSM Physics Constraints In Light Of Muon g-2

The confirmation that the Standard Model prediction for muon g-2 matches the experimental result greatly constrains beyond the Standard Model physics. But how much? 

A new preprint engages with that question.

We review the role of the anomalous magnetic moment of the muon a_mu as a powerful probe of physics beyond the Standard Model (BSM), taking advantage of the final result of the Fermilab g-2 experiment and the recently updated Standard Model value. This review provides both a comprehensive summary of the current status, as well as an accessible entry point for phenomenologists with interests in dark matter, Higgs and electroweak or neutrino and flavour physics in the context of a wide range of BSM scenarios. It begins with a qualitative overview of the field and a collection of key properties and typical results. It then focuses on model-independent, generic formulas and classifies types of BSM scenarios with or without chiral enhancements. A strong emphasis of the review are the connections to a large number of other observables -- ranging from the muon mass and the muon--Higgs coupling and related dipole observables to dark matter, neutrino masses and high-energy collider observables. Finally, we survey a number of well-motivated BSM scenarios such as dark photons, axion-like particles, the two-Higgs doublet model, supersymmetric models and models with leptoquarks, vector-like leptons or neutrino mass models. We discuss the impact of the updated Standard Model value for a_mu and of complementary constraints, exploring the phenomenology and identifying excluded and viable parameter regions.
Peter Athron, Kilian Möhling, Dominik Stöckinger, Hyejung Stöckinger-Kim, "The Muon Magnetic Moment and Physics Beyond the Standard Model" arXiv:2507.09289 (July 12, 2025) (Invited review for Progress in Particle and Nuclear Physics; 274 pages, 50 figures).

Monday, July 14, 2025

A Hubble Tension Recap

The Hubble tension has, for whatever reason, been treated as a more serious challenge to the LambdaCDM "standard model of cosmology", which contrary to the statement highlighted below in the abstract, actually has many other serious discrepancies with astronomy observations. A new preprint examines its implications for the model.
Differences in the values of the Hubble constant obtained from the local universe and the early universe have resulted in a significant tension. This tension signifies that our understanding of cosmology (physical processes and/or cosmological data) is incomplete. Some of the suggested solutions include physics of the early Universe. 
In this paper we aim to investigate common features of various early universe solutions to the Hubble constant tension. The physics of the early universe affects the size of the sound horizon which is probed with the Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) data. Within the standard model, the size of the horizon (within limits of current measurements) is affected by processes that could occur between (approximately) 1 day after the Big Bang and the last scattering instant. We focus on simple extensions incorporating Early Dark Energy (EDE) and show how such a model affects the inferred values of the Hubble constant. We compare this model to LambdaCDM models using MCMC analysis, likelihoods over the parameter space and Bayesian evidence. The MCMC analysis shows that EDE leads to a decrease in the size of the sound horizon that is consistent with H0 = 73.56 km/s/Mpc but we also show that MCMC analysis favours increasing redshift and proportion of EDE. The Bayesian evidence favours our EDE model for very narrow, finely-tuned parameter space. 
The LambdaCDM model used for comparison has good evidence across a wide parameter space. We interpret this as an indication that more sophisticated models are required. We conclude that if the Hubble tension were to be related to the physics of the early universe, EDE could be used as a window to explore conditions of the early universe and extend our understanding of that era.
Gawain Simpson, Krzysztof Bolejko, Stephen Walters, "Beyond LambdaCDM: How the Hubble tension challenges early universe physics" arXiv:2507.08479 (July 11, 2025).

Thursday, July 10, 2025

The History And Prehistory Of Human Disease

A new paper in Nature concludes from ancient DNA that while infectious diseases were common in humans since the hunter-gatherer era, that there was a real surge, not at the time of the Neolithic Revolution, but when steppe herders started to invade and conquerer farmers, and hunter-gatherers, possibly because they lived more closely with their animals and because the diseases that they carried helped facilitate their conquests. The New York Times also discusses the paper.

Infectious diseases have had devastating effects on human populations throughout history, but important questions about their origins and past dynamics remain. To create an archaeogenetic-based spatiotemporal map of human pathogens, we screened shotgun-sequencing data from 1,313 ancient humans covering 37,000 years of Eurasian history. We demonstrate the widespread presence of ancient bacterial, viral and parasite DNA, identifying 5,486 individual hits against 492 species from 136 genera. Among those hits, 3,384 involve known human pathogens, many of which had not previously been identified in ancient human remains. Grouping the ancient microbial species according to their likely reservoir and type of transmission, we find that most groups are identified throughout the entire sampling period. Zoonotic pathogens are only detected from around 6,500 years ago, peaking roughly 5,000 years ago, coinciding with the widespread domestication of livestock. Our findings provide direct evidence that this lifestyle change resulted in an increased infectious disease burden. They also indicate that the spread of these pathogens increased substantially during subsequent millennia, coinciding with the pastoralist migrations from the Eurasian Steppe
Martin Sikora, et al., "The spatiotemporal distribution of human pathogens in ancient Eurasia" Nature (July 9, 2025).

All the GUTs Worth Considering

A fairly short new paper (five pages plus seven pages of footnotes and an appendix) tries to list most or all of the possible Grand Unified Theories a.k.a. GUTs (i.e. theories the unify the three Lie groups of the Standard Model, but not gravity, into a single unified mathematical structure; unified theories that also include gravity are called Theories of Everything a.k.a. TOEs) that could include the Standard Model of Particle Physics, or an extension of it. 

There aren't all that many possibilities that are promising, and several decades of attempts to fit the Standard Model into one in a way that provides useful theoretical insight has not been very fruitful. While this line of inquiry isn't as troubled as supersymmetry (which is a dead man walking) or string theory (which is almost as troubled), it isn't very "hot" either.

Many potential GUTs, including the most minimal SU(5) GUT, would (1) imply violations of baryon number and/or lepton number conservation that aren't observed (e.g. proton decay, flavor changing neutral currents, and neutrinoless double beta decay), (2) lack some fundamental particles that are observed in the Standard Model, or (3) imply the existence of new fundamental particles beyond the Standard Model that haven't been observed (and in some cases, these particles have been ruled out to quite high energies). 

As a general rule, the bigger the Lie group of the unifying GUT, the more likely it is that it will imply far more new fundamental particles than there is any good reason to think that even a many particle dark sector should contain. Theoretical physicists prefer GUTs that imply as minimal an extension of the Standard Model as possible. Moreover, GUTs with certain kinds of new fundamental particles, such as those that imply more than three generations of fundamental Standard Model fermions, are strongly disfavored.

The experimental constraints on baryon number violating and lepton number violating processes (outside sphaleron interactions which are predicted in the Standard Model at extremely high energies but have not been observed) like proton decay, flavor changing neutral currents, and neutrinoless double beta decay are both very strict and very robust (i.e. they have been tested in multiple, independent ways). The exclusions of new fundamental particles are generally up to masses of several hundred to many thousands of GeVs, which is less strict, and the possibility of beyond the Standard Model fundamental particles is also strongly motivated (although not compelled) by the existence of dark matter phenomena. 

In the early days of GUT theories, a much sought after GUT property was that the three Standard Model forces unify at high enough energies in a manner that echos electroweak unification theory (which was one of the very attractive features of supersymmetry theory). But this has also been elusive. 

The Standard Model beta functions of the three Standard Model forces (electromagnetism, the weak force, and the strong force), which govern how the strength of these forces change with energy scale, extrapolated to arbitrarily high energy scales, based upon data all of the way up to the energy scales that can be reached by the Large Hadron Collider a.k.a. LHC (the highest energy scale high energy physics experiment every conducted), never unify. So, if a GUT the unifies the three Standard Model forces exists is some high energy scale, this must be due to new physics at energy scales above those that can be experimentally probed so far that is outside the domain of applicability of the Standard Model. 

Basically, given the energy scales that have already been reached by the LHC, energies at which the three Standard Model force could possibly unify haven't been present anywhere in the universe since some fraction of a second elapsed after the Big Bang. Of course, it is entirely possible that the three Standard Model forces simply don't unify at any energy scale that has ever existed or ever could exist.

Under a reasonable set of ab-initio assumptions, we define and chart the atlas of simple gauge theories with families of fermions whose masses are forbidden by gauge invariance. We propose a compass to navigate the atlas based on counting degrees of freedom. When searching for Grand-unification Theories with three matter generations, the free energy singles out the SU(5) Georgi-Glashow model as the minimal one, closely followed by SO(10) with spinorial matter. The atlas also defines the dryland of grand-unifiable gauge extensions of the standard model. We further provide examples relevant for gauge dual completions of the standard model as well as extensions by an additional SU(N) gauge symmetry.
Giacomo Cacciapaglia, Aldo Deandrea, Konstantinos Kollias, Francesco Sannino, "Grand-unification Theory Atlas: Standard Model and Beyond" arXiv:2507.06368 July 8, 2025).

The final paragraph of the conclusion of the main paper also enumerates some limitations on this paper serving as a truly comprehensive list of possibilities:
We have not considered yet scalar fields, as their mass cannot be prevented by any symmetry. Including spontaneous symmetry breaking of the gauge symmetry and generation of Yukawa couplings could imprint further constraints on the atlas, providing a phenomenological compass to navigate us towards the optimal high-energy theory. In our analysis, asymptotic freedom plays a crucial role in counting the degrees of freedom of each theory.

Wednesday, July 9, 2025

Non-Linear Cosmology Dynamics

Assuming the data has a Gaussian distribution (i.e. is distributed in a "normal" probability curve) is often reasonable, since this is what happens when data comes from independent simple percentage probability events. And, it is a convenient assumption when it works, because mathematically it is much easier to work with Gaussian distributions than most other probability distributions. But, sometimes reality is more complicated than that and this assumption isn't reasonable. 

The supernova data used to characterize dark energy phenomena isn't Gaussian. 

Trivially, this means that statistical uncertainty estimates based upon Gaussian distributions overestimate the statistical significance of observations in the fat tailed t-distribution. 

Non-trivially, this means that the underlying physics of dark matter phenomena are more mathematically complex than something like Newtonian gravity (often assumed for astronomy purposes as a reasonable approximation of general relativity) or a simple cosmological constant. Simple cosmology models don't match the data. 

This paper estimates dark energy parameters for more complex dark energy models that can fit the data.

Type Ia supernovae have provided fundamental observational data in the discovery of the late acceleration of the expansion of the Universe in cosmology. However, this analysis has relied on the assumption of a Gaussian distribution for the data, a hypothesis that can be challenged with the increasing volume and precision of available supernova data. 
In this work, we rigorously assess this Gaussianity hypothesis and analyze its impact on parameter estimation for dark energy cosmological models. We utilize the Pantheon+ dataset and perform a comprehensive statistical, analysis including the Lilliefors and Jarque-Bera tests, to assess the normality of both the data and model residuals. 
We find that the Gaussianity assumption is untenable and that the redshift distribution is more accurately described by a t-distribution, as indicated by the Kolmogorov Smirnov test. Parameters are estimated for a model incorporating a nonlinear cosmological interaction for the dark sector. The free parameters are estimated using multiple methods, and bootstrap confidence intervals are constructed for them.
Fabiola Arevalo, Luis Firinguetti, Marcos Peña, "On the Gaussian Assumption in the Estimation of Parameters for Dark Energy Models" arXiv:2507.05468 (July 7, 2025).

Tuesday, July 8, 2025

Steppe Ancestry In Italy


Blonde hair percentages, at a population statistics level, is a good proxy for Indo-European steppe ancestry levels (it's not as good as autosomal DNA, but the sample size and amount of fine grained geographic detail is much better). You'd need an estimate for the amount of steppe ancestry in Italians to calibrate this litmus test, however.

The first farmers of Europe had essentially 0% blonde hair, much like modern Sardinians, who are their closest genetic match. Blonde hair in Europe arrived more or less exclusively via steppe migration in late Neolithic to early Bronze Age from an ultimate homeland in the vicinity of modern Ukraine, although plenty of migration happened within Europe after this migration and not all steppe migrants had blonde hair. It is also possible to have very little steppe ancestry while still having the blonde hair gene. 

The chart shows the percentage of blond haired people in the regions shown on the map in (or near) Italy. Overall, about 8% of Italians are naturally blonde (another estimate suggests 15%). It suggests that Indo-European migration to Italy was largely north to south (with exceptions for urban centers) and reached southern Italy in far smaller proportions than northern Italy, although it is hard to know how much of the migration was modern, how much was medieval, how much was from the Roman era, and how much dates to pre-history.

Until the late 1870s, Italy was not a unified country, with Southern Europe belonging to the poorer Kingdom of the Two Sicilies with a more agricultural economy, and Northern Europe belonging to a number of smaller and more prosperous states with more mercantile economies, which could have impacted migration patterns by increasing migration from areas with more blonde people. 


From Reddit.

In the medieval era Northern Europeans, including the Normans and Vikings and Germanic tribes, had greater interactions with Northern Italy than with Southern Italy, as well. 

In the Roman era, migration to the Roman capital and its major cities from North Africa, Egypt, and the Levant might have diluted the percentage of people with steppe ancestry.

Shortly before the classical Roman era, there were a number of Greek colonies in Italy, which could be reflected in the purple regions on the map (about 4% of Greeks are naturally blonde), with some blurring out due to admixture with regions near former Greek colonies.


From Wikipedia.

Thursday, July 3, 2025

A New Strong Force Coupling Constant Determination

The Particle Data Group value for the strong force coupling constant is 0.1180 ± 0.0009. This new determination, based upon earlier runs of LHC dijet data and lower energy HERA data, is consistent with the PDG value at the 0.1 sigma level. 

The strong force coupling constant is pervasively important in almost all high energy physics calculations, but it known much less precisely (with just one part per 131 parts precision) than most other Standard Model or fundamental physical constants. So, pinning this down more precisely is always big deal.

The beta function that describes how the strong force coupling constant runs with energy scale is an exact theoretical prediction of the Standard Model, with no experimental uncertainties. The conference presentation's confirmation that the strong force coupling constant runs with energy scale just as predicted in the Standard Model, over four orders of magnitude of energy scale, is arguably an even more important confirmation of the Standard Model, because there are fewer experimental confirmations of this in the literature.

In this talk we present a determination of the strong coupling constant αs and its energy-scale dependence based on a next-to-next-to-leading order (NNLO) QCD analysis of dijet production. 
Using the invariant mass of the dijet system to probe αs at different scales, we extract a value of αs(mZ) = 0.1178 ± 0.0022 from LHC dijet data. 
The combination of various LHC datasets significantly extends the precision and scale reach of the analysis, enabling the first determination of αs up to 7 TeV. By incorporating dijet cross sections from HERA, we further probe αs at smaller scales, covering a kinematic range of more than three orders of magnitude. Our results are in excellent agreement with QCD predictions based on the renormalization group equation, providing a stringent test of the running of the strong coupling across a wide energy range.
João Pires, "Precision determination of αs from Dijet Cross Sections in the Multi-TeV Range" arXiv:2507.01670 (July 2, 2025) (Contribution to the 2025 QCD session of the 59th Rencontres de Moriond).

Wednesday, July 2, 2025

A New Relativistic Generalization Of MOND (And More)

This six page article is just a conference paper summary of a much more involved modified gravity theory and its implications. The abstract is silent on how well it handles galaxy cluster physics, which deviate (in a quite systemic way) from simple toy-model MOND theories, or the Hubble tension.

We propose an alternative scalar-tensor theory based on the Khronon scalar field labeling a family of space-like three-dimensional hypersurfaces. This theory leads to modified Newtonian dynamics (MOND) at galactic scales for stationary systems, recovers GR plus a cosmological constant in the strong field regime, and is in agreement with the standard cosmological model and the observed cosmic microwave background anisotropies.
Luc Blanchet, Constantinos Skordis, "Khronon-Tensor theory reproducing MOND and the cosmological model" arXiv:2507.00912 (July 1, 2025) (Contribution to the 2025 Gravitation session of the 59th Rencontres de Moriond).

A fuller explanation of the theory can be found here.

Another lengthy paper by P. S. Bhupal Dev et al., examines the constraints dark matter-neutrino interactions which are very strict.
We present a comprehensive analysis of the interactions of neutrinos with the dark sector within the simplified model framework. We first derive the exact analytic formulas for the differential scattering cross sections of neutrinos with scalar, fermion, and vector dark matter (DM) for light dark sector models with mediators of different types. We then implement the full catalog of constraints on the parameter space of the neutrino-DM and neutrino-mediator couplings and masses, including cosmological and astrophysical bounds coming from Big Bang Nucleosynthesis, Cosmic Microwave Background, DM and neutrino self-interactions, DM collisional damping, and astrophysical neutrino sources, as well as laboratory constraints from 3-body meson decays and invisible Z decays. 
We find that most of the benchmarks in the DM mass-coupling plane adopted in previous studies to get an observable neutrino-DM interaction effect are actually ruled out by a combination of the above-mentioned constraints, especially the laboratory ones which are robust against astrophysical uncertainties and independent of the cosmological history. 
To illustrate the consequences of our new results, we take the galactic supernova neutrinos in the MeV energy range as a concrete example and highlight the difficulties in finding any observable effect of neutrino-DM interactions. 
Finally, we identify new benchmark points potentially promising for future observational prospects of the attenuation of the galactic supernova neutrino flux and comment on their implications for the detection prospects in future large-volume neutrino experiments such as JUNO, Hyper-K, and DUNE. We also comment on the ultraviolet-embedding of the effective neutrino-DM couplings.